Short Squeeze: How to predict a Bitcoin Short Squeeze?

what is a short squeeze in crypto

This wave of buybacks further drives up the asset’s price, triggering a short squeeze. During the 2008 financial crisis, Porsche Automobile Holding SE (POAHY), already a major holder of Volkswagen AG (VWAGY) shares, increased its total stake in Volkswagen to about 75%. The state of Lower Saxony also owned more than 20% of the company, leaving few remaining shares alpari forex broker review available to trade at a time when the stock was being heavily shorted. Hedge funds and other short sellers were suddenly left in a tricky position as Porsche’s move meant that not all of them could cover their positions. Against this backdrop, short sellers were forced to buy back the shares they sold, which helped drive Volkswagen’s share price up to €999. The short-interest ratio shows the average number of days needed to exit a short position.

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When numerous short sellers close their short positions in a short span, which means they keep buying the coin, a spike in price is observed. If all shorters initiate buying, demand outweighs supply, which causes the crypto coin’s prices to rise. A significant rise in trading volumes that lasts only a short time often follows a short squeeze.

  1. A rise above the range generally means investors have turned bearish, and very high measurements can predict an incoming short squeeze.
  2. Undervalued assets will usually recover unless there was a more intrinsic reason for the sell-off.
  3. Short squeezes tend to occur after a long downtrend and after most of the selling has been exhausted.
  4. When used in conjunction with Margex margin trading tools, traders can be ready for when a short squeeze happens and can react accordingly.

Case Studies of Famous Short Squeezes

After dropping to around 6% of its all-time high value, GameStop’s stock began to rise in a short squeeze from September 2020, growing by over 10x over the next few months. In 2008, a short squeeze pumped Volkswagen shares by 5x in just two days, briefly making it the most valuable company in the world. The next massive short squeeze happened on April 2, 2019, when Bitcoin price broke upward out of its downtrend resistance for a 22% move in just one day. Again in late 2019, heavy short interest after Bitcoin broke down from $10,000 resulted in a 42% move within 48 hours as short positions were squeezed rapidly on positive news coming out of China. The cryptocurrency community affectionately called the two-day short squeeze the China pump or Xi pump –– named after the Chinese president Xi Jinping. Large businesses like energy producers regularly hedge against falling energy prices in this way.

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what is a short squeeze in crypto

RSI is a momentum oscillator that gauges crypto value speed and changes to evaluate overbought and oversold conditions. The opposite of a short squeeze is a long squeeze – though it’s less common. A long squeeze is a similar effect that happens when longs get trapped by cascading selling pressure, leading to a sharp downward price spike. When identifying stocks at risk of a short squeeze, two useful measures are short interest and the short interest ratio. The analysts’ sentiment has dimmed since early 2024 due to the accounting issue, but they continue to hold the stock and show some conviction in the rating.

Investing in such assets solely on the short interest is probably a bad idea, especially since a significant portion of the market thinks it will fall in value. However, combined with signals from other indicators, trading high short interest assets can be immensely profitable. The Bollinger Bands are a volatility measuring tool based on a simple moving average and an upper and lower band set at two standard deviations of the SMA. When prices are at the upper or lower band, they are high or low in respect to historical price action.

A short squeeze gets umarkets forex broker review its name because short sellers are being squeezed out of their positions, usually at a loss. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) states that abusing short sale practices is illegal. In addition, short sales used to manipulate the price of a stock are prohibited.

What Is A Short Squeeze In Crypto?

© 2024 Market How to buy kadena data provided is at least 10-minutes delayed and hosted by Barchart Solutions. Information is provided ‘as-is’ and solely for informational purposes, not for trading purposes or advice, and is delayed. To see all exchange delays and terms of use please see Barchart’s disclaimer. The guidance for Q2 was equally tepid concerning the market’s expectations but no less robust compared to the prior year, another reason to think the stock is undervalued.

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